Monday, November 11, 2013

High School Football America & SportsMeasures unveil new SoCal High School Football Power Rankings

by Jeff Fisher
Follow @HSFBamerica


For the past two years, a great friend of mine, Patrick Fisher (no relation, but a great name) and I have been trying to figure-out a better way to rank high school football programs.  It all began in Chicago, when Patrick and I began a conversation about his company SportsMeasures. I love his tagline - Real Science for Real Sports.

I was fascinated with Patrick's passion for sports, numbers and analysis - he possesses a Masters Degree in Education from the University of Chicago with a specialization in Measurement, Evaluation and Statistical Analysis.

After a great meeting with myself and Trisha Hoffman at the Westin in Chicago, Patrick and I decided to try to build a better mouse trap when it comes to ranking high school football teams.  Patrick had already been analyzing college football for several years with great success...meaning better than the BCS.

I was convinced that Patrick had the secret sauce that would be tested by high school football.  Everyone - USA Today, MaxPreps, etc. - has been trying to break the code on the best way to rank teams around the country.  Instead of attacking the task of breaking down all 15,000-plus teams around the country, Patrick and I set-out to test his analysis against the 2011 Illinois high school football season.  After a few tweaks, Patrick's methodology worked!!

When High School Football America moved to Los Angeles last year, Patrick's talent was really tested when I explained that California's classification system is...a little goofy.  What do I mean by that?  Simply put, it's not as easy as this team is in 5A, that team is in 4A, etc.

Nearly 12 months and the end of the 2013 SoCal high school football season later, we think we've mastered the task.

There isn't a lot of surprise at the top where undefeated and nationally-ranked St. John Bosco is at the top of the heap.  What may surprise some is the fact that nationally-ranked, by every national media outlet, Serra is currently ranked #8. I'm sure that will open some eyes and start some conversation.

We feel confident that is the best analysis ever done in the Southern California Southern and LA City Sections.

So without further ado, below is the SportsMeasures' Power Rankings through Week 9 of the regular season.
 
1. St. John Bosco (9-0) - 100.7
2. Mission Viejo (9-0) -  97.05
3. Orange Lutheran (7-2) 95.25
4. Mater Dei (7-2) 95.02
5. Oaks Christian (8-1) – 94.21
6. Long Beach Poly (8-1) – 93.97
7. Rancho Cucamonga (9-0) - 93.91
8. Serra (9-0) – 92.76
9. Vista Murrieta (8-1) – 90.69
10. Alemany (7-2) - 88.89
11. Venice (7-2) – 88.38
12. St. Bonaventure (6-3) - 88.34
13. Corona Centennial (7-2) – 87.40
14. Notre Dame (Sherman Oaks) (7-3) – 87.22
15. JSerra (6-3) – 87.21
16. Hart (8-1) – 85.97
17. Tesoro (7-2) - 85.80
18. Servite (5-4) - 83.78
19. Narbonne (7-2) – 83.78
20. Westlake (7-2) – 83.53
21. Bishop Amat (5-4) 83.10
22. Palmdale (7-2) – 82.91
23. Canyon Country Canyon 82.74
24. Chaminade (7-2) – 82.20
25. Chino Hills (7-2) 82.06

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